The Italian Platform for the Humanities and Social Sciences
Francesco Figari, Carlo Fiorio, Luca Gandullia, Carlotta Montorsi
La resilienza del sistema italiano di protezione sociale all'inizio della crisi COVID-19: evidenze territoriali (The resilience of the Italian social protection system at the beginning of COVID-19 outbreak: territorial evidence)
Keywords: COVID-19, Italian welfare system, regional impact, microsimulation, EUROMOD.
The article provides a first quantification of the redistributive effects of automatic stabilizers and discretional policies imposed by the Italian government to limit the diffusion
of COVID-19 in March 2020 and to compensate for income losses of individuals affected
by the shutdown. In particular, we analyse the short term impact on family incomes, using
the Italian module of EUROMOD which allow us to simulate the effects on incomes, poverty
risks and inequality based on IT-SILC data combined with relevant information needed to
identify the workers affected by the shutdown. The article provides timely evidence of the resilience
of the Italian welfare state in the different geographical areas of the country facing an
asymmetric shock, particularly strong from an economic perspective for some families and less
for others even in the presence of compensative policies introduced by the government.